RedPhoenixxx wrote:
It is acceptable and becomming more mainstream to be gay and rights are being given. The initial battles are won and those willing to fight the opposing war are to put it bluntly .. dying out as they age and die.
In Western Europe. And even then, slowly. There are very few countries in Europe that allow for gay marriage. Civil unions, sure but the fight for completely equal rights is far from over. And then you have countries like Italy, Spain, or Ireland, where the Church is still quite strong, and where gay marriage is still far from becoming a reality. The further East we go, the worst it gets. Russia, for example, is incredibly homophobic. Some states in the US are the same.
We're getting there, but very slowly. And some European countries are not making making much progress at all.
Gwyn wrote:
In its old form - has it survived the theory of evolution? I outright challenge that assumption. "On the Origin of Species" was only published in 1859. The grip of the church on the state (and more crucially the populace minds) has been slipping ever since. The Victorian age was a turning point for religion as a power base, its been in retreat ever since in England at least.
And that's the key. In England. England is not a very religious country at all. It's probably the least religous country in Europe, with France. The CoE is not really "religious" at all.
But look at other EU countries: Abortion is illegal in Ireland, Spain and Italy are still strongly catholic, Greece's orthodox church is extremely influential, the main political party in Germany is the "Christian-Democrats", Norway has a church state that premeates through-out their society... Poland wanted Christian references in the EU constitution... I could go on, think about the Balkans, about Turkey... And that's in Europe, arguably the least religious of all the continents.
If you look at other continents, forget about it. South America is still very religious, North America too, Asia incredibly so... Most of the modern conflicts have religious causes, or at least under-curents: Israel and Gaza, Sri Lanka and the Tamils, Pakistan and the Talibans, Kashmir, Darfur, Chechnya, Lebanon...
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In 50 years time I would hope that any leader making a national decision based on any religious input would be pushed out of office as a throwback to a bygone age.
In England. Maybe in France. In other european countries, the church will still influence politicians decisions, and more importantly, the cultural norms of society.
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China is a concern but I do wonder if they have enough of their own problems to deal with before setting their sights to the rest of the world.
No. China is the next big thing. People that worry about fanatic Islamists are barkig up the wrong tree, at least in the medium/long-term. They are far too divided amongst themselves to be a real threat in the "Clash of civilisations" way. China isn't.
Think about it. Let's say China decides to invade Taiwan tomorrow. What do you think will happen? Is the US and the EU going to to war with them over it? Impose an embargo? Is there anything effective we could do about it? Is there anything we can do about Tibet? About the lack of pressure China is putting on NK? About China's neo-colonialism in Africa?
I agree with you in the sense that the only thing that can stop China being the next super-power in the world, bigger than the US or India, is China itself. But considering that they know this as well as we do, it's unlikely they will make huge mistakes. On the international stage, I don't think there's any doubt that they will be the next big thing.