http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/06/13/AR2009061300636.html?hpid=topnews
I don't know if the chances are high. I think if NK went really aggressive, China would smack that country down b/c there already signs that they are weary of what NK is doing. But you know, I don't know really what to think. It was always funny, in a ****** up way, that we were insisting on going to Iraq b/c of Weapons of Mass Destruction while NK was saying they had nuclear weapons pointed at the west coast.
All in all, though, to be perfectly honest, I don't know what to think of this situation. I wonder what the chances/circumstances that would draw us into a war with North Korea.
This is an op-ed's take on it:
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1903717,00.html?iid=tsmodule
Quote:
U.S. officials are concerned that political instability inside the Pyongyang regime may raise the danger of confrontation. "Dear Leader" Kim Jong Il has been weakened by a stroke suffered late last year, his 26-year old heir apparent is not yet ready to take the reins and the North Korean military is eager to maintain its preeminence in the coming political succession. "Any time you have a combination of this behavior of doing provocative things in order to excite a response — plus succession questions — you have a potentially dangerous mixture," said U.S. Director of National Intelligence Dennis Blair on Monday.
Despite the rising tensions, however, a number of factors militate against a new chapter being opened in the Korean War. South Korea, backed by the U.S., doesn't want war, because the North has some 13,000 artillery tubes aimed at Seoul and the more than 10 million South Koreans living within 30 miles of the DMZ. North Korea, backed by China, doesn't want war because if it comes, it all but guarantees the collapse of Kim's regime, which is also the family business.
Despite the rising tensions, however, a number of factors militate against a new chapter being opened in the Korean War. South Korea, backed by the U.S., doesn't want war, because the North has some 13,000 artillery tubes aimed at Seoul and the more than 10 million South Koreans living within 30 miles of the DMZ. North Korea, backed by China, doesn't want war because if it comes, it all but guarantees the collapse of Kim's regime, which is also the family business.