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#27 Dec 15 2009 at 2:50 PM Rating: Decent
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Aripyanfar wrote:
We had the economic meltdown not because subprime mortgages exist, and were defaulted on, but because banks and Wall Street pulled a fast one, mixing low grade investments with high grade investments and selling them all off at high grade prices.


Let's be fair though. It wasn't the "banks and Wall St" which did this. It was the GSEs Freddie and Fannie who bundled those securities. It was also the CEO of Fannie, Franklin Raines who testified before Congress that the securities they were bundling were not just safe at 3% asset to debt, but at 2% (that's the 50-1 ratio someone mentioned earlier).


Part of the problem when discussing this issue is that everyone talks about a "lack of regulation", but "regulation" meant (and still means) different things to different people. To the Dems regulation meant more rules requiring specific lending rates to specific sets of people. To the GOP regulation meant that the GSEs should be restricted from handing out more loans than the industry could afford to absorb.


This is why it's a bit misleading when Liberals all point to a "lack of regulation" as the cause. They're right, but the regulation which the Dems sought and which the GOP opposed was *not* the sort of regulation which would have helped. It's the sort which would have made things worse (and arguably, the amount we had certainly caused or at least contributed to the problem). The GOP continually attempted to reign in the lending practices at Fannie and Freddie and were blocked by the Dems at every turn.


So yeah. I don't blame the banks. And I certainly don't blame Wall St. They didn't do anything wrong. They didn't lie about the assets they were dealing with. I blame Freddie and Fannie, the people who lead them at the time, and the politicians who provided them legal cover during the time period in question. Sadly, we've now put those people in charge of the rest of the economy. Crazy! I know...
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#28 Dec 15 2009 at 4:07 PM Rating: Excellent
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Part of the problem when discussing this issue is that everyone talks about a "lack of regulation", but "regulation" meant (and still means) different things to different people. To the Dems regulation meant more rules requiring specific lending rates to specific sets of people. To the GOP regulation meant that the GSEs should be restricted from handing out more loans than the industry could afford to absorb.


Which is why the GOP is against regulation?
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#29 Dec 15 2009 at 4:09 PM Rating: Excellent
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This is why it's a bit misleading when Liberals all point to a "lack of regulation" as the cause. They're right, but the regulation which the Dems sought and which the GOP opposed was *not* the sort of regulation which would have helped. It's the sort which would have made things worse (and arguably, the amount we had certainly caused or at least contributed to the problem). The GOP continually attempted to reign in the lending practices at Fannie and Freddie and were blocked by the Dems at every turn.


How was the GOP blocked by the dastardly minority party at every turn?

Are you saying they're even more ineffectual than the Dems?
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#30 Dec 15 2009 at 4:14 PM Rating: Excellent
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#31 Dec 15 2009 at 5:32 PM Rating: Good
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Let's be fair though.


Ok!

It wasn't the "banks and Wall St" which did this. It was the GSEs Freddie and Fannie who bundled those securities..

Let's be fair, though.

The problem wasn't the bundling of those securities, the problem was that risk was misrepresented. Not by GSEs, however, by private rating agencies. The math (and, yes, I know I just lost you) behind risk assessment was predicated on the government acting as a backstop to any sort of catastrophic loss, as opposed to factoring that risk of catastrophic loss into the overall risk it WAS LITERALLY IGNORED. So, where models should have shown bundled securities as moderately risky, they showed them as having virtually no downside. This is an oversimplification, obviously, and there are other factors, but you couldn't understand any more complex explanation.

Let's be fair though.

You don't understand the dumbed down version, either.



A It was also the CEO of Fannie, Franklin Raines who testified before Congress that the securities they were bundling were not just safe at 3% asset to debt, but at 2% (that's the 50-1 ratio someone mentioned earlier).


Possibly. Hard to tell without a cite as I don't have everything Franklin Raines said during congressional testimony memorized.

Let's be fair though.

They would have been safe at those level of leverage IF THE RISK HAS BEEN CALCULATED APPROPRIATELY. Was Raines aware that these models relied on a ludicrously oversimplified Gaussian copula model that was obviously wrong? Probably. Franklin Raines is a selfish corrupt ****. I have no idea of his politics, but being a brother I'd assume he's a Democrat unless he's of the self hating Mike Steele mold.


Part of the problem when discussing this issue is that everyone talks about a "lack of regulation", but "regulation" meant (and still means) different things to different people. To the Dems regulation meant more rules requiring specific lending rates to specific sets of people. To the GOP regulation meant that the GSEs should be restricted from handing out more loans than the industry could afford to absorb.


Let's be fair though.

The above quote is either an intentional lie or the mark of abject ignorance and lack of desire or ability to learn bordering on a disability suffice to warrant competing in the Special Olympics . Let me be clear, I'm not calling you a liar.


This is why it's a bit misleading when Liberals all point to a "lack of regulation" as the cause. They're right, but the regulation which the Dems sought and which the GOP opposed was *not* the sort of regulation which would have helped. It's the sort which would have made things worse (and arguably, the amount we had certainly caused or at least contributed to the problem). The GOP continually attempted to reign in the lending practices at Fannie and Freddie and were blocked by the Dems at every turn.


Let's be fair, though. The GOP insisted on completely deregulating the derivatives market. Had the derivatives market had the same level of regulation that "straight" equities markets do, the "crisis" would have been impossible. Not that we haven't previously been over this, in detail, but as you've apparently been again afflicted by "*** Kicked Amnesia" where you completely lose memory of posts where your arguments are systematically dismantled in great detail complete with meticulously researched and sites factual sources only to repeat them, essentially verbatim a few months later, let me emphasize that mortgages being the asset at the bottom of the security/derivative stock is about as unimportant a factor as is possible here. The asset in question could have been literally anything.


So yeah. I don't blame the banks. And I certainly don't blame Wall St. They didn't do anything wrong. They didn't lie about the assets they were dealing with.


They did, in fact, lie about the assets they were dealing with.


I blame Freddie and Fannie, the people who lead them at the time, and the politicians who provided them legal cover during the time period in question. Sadly, we've now put those people in charge of the rest of the economy. Crazy! I know...


Let's be fair, though.

You have a great desire to shoehorn the "government trying help poor people killed the economy!!!" narrative into a set of facts where it just can't possibly fit. It's a little sad, really, well, let's be fair, though, not so much sad, but pathetic.
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#32 Dec 15 2009 at 5:52 PM Rating: Good
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Timelordwho wrote:
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Part of the problem when discussing this issue is that everyone talks about a "lack of regulation", but "regulation" meant (and still means) different things to different people. To the Dems regulation meant more rules requiring specific lending rates to specific sets of people. To the GOP regulation meant that the GSEs should be restricted from handing out more loans than the industry could afford to absorb.


Which is why the GOP is against regulation?


Why are you repeating rhetoric? The GOP was against "regulation" which the Dems wanted, which would require the GSEs to lend more money to lower income people. It was for regulation which would have reigned in those costs.

Go look up HR 2575 ( Secondary Mortgage Market Enterprises Regulatory Act ). It was sponsored by Republicans (one Democrat initially did, then withdrew sponsorship). It was supported and opposed along party lines. It failed to get out of committee, largely due to a Mr Barney Frank labeling anyone who supported it as anti-poor and anti-minority (as well as his insistence that Freddie and Fannie were just fine and there was no need for regulatory change.

What was so horrible in this proposal? Let's see. They wanted to shift the regulation of Freddie and Fannie from the Housing Department, to the Finance Department. This was specifically because the current overseeing body in HUD was seen by the banking industry as failing to do their jobs. Yes. Back in 2003, the banks were concerned that the GSEs might be lying to them and HUD wasn't taking sufficient action to deal with it.

What else? Oh. Nothing critical. Just requirements for things like disclosure of financial information, requirements for capital risk assessments, limits on allowable conforming loans, and a host of reporting and enforcement stuff which wasn't there currently. I'm sure none of that stuff is actually "regulation", and I'm sure none of it would have helped at all at preventing the housing collapse we experienced 5 years later.


No. Let's just simplify this to "It happened because the GOP was opposed to regulation of the industry". Yeah. That just fits the facts of history so well, doesn't it?
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#33 Dec 16 2009 at 5:55 AM Rating: Decent
I obvisouly agree with what Smash said. 100%.

But even if we admit that gbaji has a point, because we suddenly live in an imaginary world where things are the way gbaji says they are, then isn't worth re-considering an economic system whereby a bunch of rednecks in some Southern states defaulting on their mortgages causes the whole world's economy to completely collapse? Doesn't this say something about the inherent vulnerability of relying on the financial services for growth? Doesn't it say something about the foundations of our economy?

Another point is that people go on and on about how growth for Wall Street is good for America, or whatever local version we're being sold of this ********* So they get 5-10 years of growth, of which we barely see any profits, and then the system collapses, and we're loaded with gigantic debts for the next 5-10 years. Was it really growth, then? Or, to put it another way, was this growth worth it? We make a bunch of finance twats mega-rich for 5-10 years, and then we lay off whole swathes of industry, see unemployment rise, houses repossessed, etc, etc... And if you complain about that it makes a... communist?

Bit fbucked-up, really.
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#34 Dec 16 2009 at 6:22 AM Rating: Excellent
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#35 Dec 16 2009 at 6:25 AM Rating: Good
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#36 Dec 16 2009 at 4:48 PM Rating: Decent
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RedPhoenixxx wrote:
But even if we admit that gbaji has a point, because we suddenly live in an imaginary world where things are the way gbaji says they are, then isn't worth re-considering an economic system whereby a bunch of rednecks in some Southern states defaulting on their mortgages causes the whole world's economy to completely collapse?


Yes. We should not have applied CRA requirements to merged financial/commercial banking groups. And we should not have left the GSEs Freddie and Fannie in sole responsibility for handling the loan bundling. And we should not have allowed the Democrats to have so much influence over the processes and people involved. And we should have listened to Republicans who warned for the better part of a decade that this would lead to financial problems down the line.

I agree completely...

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Doesn't this say something about the inherent vulnerability of relying on the financial services for growth? Doesn't it say something about the foundations of our economy?


No. What it says is that it's stupid to allow social policy to trump financial policy.

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Another point is that people go on and on about how growth for Wall Street is good for America, or whatever local version we're being sold of this bullsh*t. So they get 5-10 years of growth, of which we barely see any profits, and then the system collapses, and we're loaded with gigantic debts for the next 5-10 years. Was it really growth, then? Or, to put it another way, was this growth worth it? We make a bunch of finance twats mega-rich for 5-10 years, and then we lay off whole swathes of industry, see unemployment rise, houses repossessed, etc, etc... And if you complain about that it makes a... communist?


/shrug

Another way to look at it is that we constantly see benefits from the success of Wall Street (and "big business" in general), but because it's all around us all the time, we don't realize it. We don't notice or recognize that the reason we can buy products for so little, or have jobs which pay so much is because of their success and solvency. We do notice when they fail because those benefits go away and prices go up and jobs are lost.


You are progressing from an assumption that somehow all those jobs and product and services and whatnot would exist if Wall Street and Big Business did not. Thus, you blame them when their failures cause us to lose those to some degree. I think that assumption is false. We have those things only because those free market factors exist. Take away the big money in big business and most of us would be doing manual labor on a farm somewhere...
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#37 Dec 17 2009 at 4:45 AM Rating: Good
I don't think the Atlantic Ocean is big enough to metaphorically express the gap between how you and I see the world, gbaji.
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#38 Dec 17 2009 at 5:01 AM Rating: Decent
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No. What it says is that it's stupid to allow social policy to trump financial policy.


Yes gbaji, money should always be more important than the totality of ethics, law, and mutual respect.

You fucking loon.

What do you think economic policy exists for?

Edited, Dec 17th 2009 6:06am by Pensive
#39 Dec 17 2009 at 9:49 AM Rating: Excellent
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RedPhoenixxx wrote:
I don't think the Atlantic Ocean is big enough to metaphorically express the gap between how you and I see the world, gbaji.

How about the Pacific. It's larger and it has nicer islands.
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#40 Dec 17 2009 at 1:03 PM Rating: Decent
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Pensive the Ludicrous wrote:
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No. What it says is that it's stupid to allow social policy to trump financial policy.


Yes gbaji, money should always be more important than the totality of ethics, law, and mutual respect.


Financial policy is not equal to "money". It's what you do with money. Specifically in this context, it's the policy of not bankrupting your country or leading it into financial crisis.

Social policy is not the "totality of ethics, law, and mutual respect" either. It's a subset of actions the government may take within those areas. Social policy costs money though, so you kinda have to have a sound financial policy in place first. Doing it the other way around leads us to the kind of disaster we're in right now.


Let me ask you a question: Do you think that increasing unemployment from 5.5% to 10% in a year and a half is good social policy? Did our government act in the best interests of the people there? No? Overspending on something today, no matter what the "good", is going to be "bad" in the long run.


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You fucking loon.


No amount of you posting something ridiculously inaccurate followed by calling me names makes you right and me wrong. Just thought you might want to know...

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What do you think economic policy exists for?


I said "financial policy" but whatever. It exists to protect the fruits of the people's labors, while ensuring that the government does not create more problems than it solves along the way. It does *not* exist so that we can pursue social policy. Not in this context anyway.


In this context, "social policy" meant pursuing a social goal of helping poor people own homes. That's a good goal. However, doing so by creating a money shell game which was going to cause a financial crisis in the future was the wrong way to do it. That's why we're in this mess. We decided that somehow we could create money to pay for housing programs out of thin air and eventually the cost came back to bite us.

You can't get something for nothing. This is a lesson the Left has a really hard time understanding.
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#41REDACTED, Posted: Dec 17 2009 at 1:23 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Nonsense there's always more money the rich are hiding that can pay for everything and make the world the place they think it should be.
#42 Dec 17 2009 at 1:30 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
RedPhoenixxx wrote:
I don't think the Atlantic Ocean is big enough to metaphorically express the gap between how you and I see the world, gbaji.

How about the Pacific. It's larger and it has nicer islands.

The Azores are pretty nice, though.
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#43ThiefX, Posted: Dec 17 2009 at 2:22 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) Gbaji I know you were just responding to one of Pensive's ramblings but you do realize that you are debating economics with a guy who has never had a job and still lives with his mommy?
#44 Dec 17 2009 at 2:44 PM Rating: Decent
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Gbaji I know you were just responding to one of Pensive's ramblings but you do realize that you are debating economics with a guy who has never had a job and still lives with his mommy?


Why the **** would you ever have the slightest notion that employment would enable or create an understanding of economics, or be rellated to it in the slightest capacity? That might actually be the stupidest thing you've ever implied.

I mean ****, a shark must know all about the composition of water and how it forms bonds and acts as a solvent cos golly, he swims in it all the time!

Quote:
Social policy costs money though, so you kinda have to have a sound financial policy in place first. Doing it the other way around leads us to the kind of disaster we're in right now.


I don't care. You are a ******* inhuman creep and don't deserve the dignity of anything but wrath and disdain for the unwarranted value you place on money over anything else. You fucking loon.
#45 Dec 17 2009 at 2:58 PM Rating: Good
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Pensive the Ludicrous wrote:
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Gbaji I know you were just responding to one of Pensive's ramblings but you do realize that you are debating economics with a guy who has never had a job and still lives with his mommy?


Why the @#%^ would you ever have the slightest notion that employment would enable or create an understanding of economics, or be rellated to it in the slightest capacity? That might actually be the stupidest thing you've ever implied.

I mean sh*t, a shark must know all about the composition of water and how it forms bonds and acts as a solvent cos golly, he swims in it all the time!
Don't be so glib, when we're all underwater sharks are going to be our overlords. They will of course be controlled by the dolphins.
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#46 Dec 17 2009 at 3:02 PM Rating: Excellent
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I have to admit... I'm kind of curious about why ThiefX gets such a huge erection every time Pensive posts.
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#47 Dec 17 2009 at 3:29 PM Rating: Good
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There are really only so many "hur hur you live with your parents while you're in college" jokes you can make.
#48 Dec 17 2009 at 3:32 PM Rating: Default
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There are really only so many "hur hur you live with your parents while you're in college" jokes you can make.


My problem with Pensive isn't that he lives at home because he goes to school (Although I worked 2 jobs, Lived away from Home and went to College at the same time something Pensive says is not possible despite the fact countless people have done so)


Quote:
I have to admit... I'm kind of curious about why ThiefX gets such a huge erection every time Pensive posts.


Because Pensive doesn't know sh*t. He's a guy who has never lived (or worked) in the real world, a guy who has yet to cut the apron strings lecturing people about how unfair the world is.

He doesn't have an original thought in his head he just memorizes what others have written and then regurgitates it on command in some kind of pathetic feeble attempt to sound intelligent so for one brief second he can feel better about himself and forget the horror and trauma of Jr High and all of those lunches alone.



Edited, Dec 17th 2009 4:40pm by ThiefX



Edited, Dec 17th 2009 4:51pm by ThiefX
#49 Dec 17 2009 at 3:56 PM Rating: Good
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ThiefX wrote:
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There are really only so many "hur hur you live with your parents while you're in college" jokes you can make.


My problem with Pensive isn't that he lives at home because he goes to school (Although I worked 2 jobs, Lived away from Home and went to College at the same time something Pensive says is not possible despite the fact countless people have done so)


My actual point was that you're not terribly clever.
#50 Dec 17 2009 at 4:03 PM Rating: Decent
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(Although I worked 2 jobs, Lived away from Home and went to College at the same time something Pensive says is not possible despite the fact countless people have done so)


Of course it's possible.

It's not very smart though.

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He's a guy who has never lived (or worked) in the real world, a guy who has yet to cut the apron strings lecturing people about how unfair the world is.


I've worked jobs. You wouldn't know that cause you don't ask.

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he just memorizes what others have written and then regurgitates it on command


You can, of course, cite these "others" yes? I wouldn't want to get in hot water for plagiarism via the collective unconsciousness.
#51 Dec 17 2009 at 6:17 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
I have to admit... I'm kind of curious about why ThiefX gets such a huge erection every time Pensive posts.


I'm sayin'. It kinda creeps me out, to be honest.
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