Jophiel wrote:
Uh, no. Clinton's issue was that she DIDN'T knock Obama out by Super Tuesday. He essentially tied her in elected delegates and then cleaned up in the caucuses afterward. Had Clinton had a commanding lead by Feb 6th, it would have been a much different story.
Essentially tied, yet she lost at the start. Her not winning in SC and Iowa had nothing to do with her losing Super Tuesday. Again, people are over emphasizing the power of those states. Senator Obama won over the public with his personality, something that HRC still suffers from. HRC supporters jumped shipped, which is why she is being handed the nomination now.
All of this is irrelevant when you're talking about one of the longest and closest primaries with HRC having the popular vote depending on how it was counted. Again, this is a weak field. There is no "Senator Obama".
Jophiel wrote:
That has nothing remotely to do with what I quoted.
Exactly. At the end of the day, it comes down to actual votes. It only takes one scenario to spark a fire for support for a candidate. If George Pataki were to save a baby from a burning building, he would jump in the polls even though that has nothing to do with what he supports or stands for. This is reality. You don't ignore the logistics, but when you're only competition is B-San, you go for it. You would be foolish not to.
Furthermore, Sanders support is all hype. Most, if not all of his support are Warren supporters, which means if she were to jump in the race, his support would essentially go away. Nobody is saying anything negative about Sanders, so much so that the GOP is supporting him. The same group of people who criticized the POTUS for working with communist Cuba, supports a communist candidate. If it were to come down to him as the nominee, he will be attacked full force.
I don't care what poll you might see, Sanders is not going to beat Bush or Walker. There is no way the DEM party will let the GOP walk away with the presidency. If HRC were to completely fall off, I assure you the support would not be for any of the 4 remaining candidates.